The Sky Is Falling! No It Isn’t! Yes It Is!

Ron's Blog

Let’s face it. We are living in a new economy whether we like it or not. The real question is how are we going to adjust to it or better, what are we going to do about it?

The Obama administration is spending money like no other before it since the founding of this great nation. All of this is done under the guise of saving our economy but the path is socialism.

I remember someone asking former President Bill Clinton the question, “When has any nation ever spent itself into prosperity?” Of course the answer is, never. Just ask Greece.

Listen to what Matt Spalding of the Heritage Foundation said: “This past year has been a historic one when it comes to the sheer size of legislation forced through Congress. But the health care bill is just a symptom of a larger epidemic: the shift toward an “administrative state” — an unelected, unaccountable, bureaucratic government operating without the consent of the governed. The United States has been moving down this path in fits and starts for some time, from the Progressive Era reforms through the New Deal’s interventions in the economy.”

But what has all this to do with real estate you might ask? A lot! Remember last week’s volatile stock market movement when at one point the market was down almost a thousand points. Investors fled to the 10 year Treasury, driving the yield way down and pulling down the rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage right along with it. The yield came up a bit, but at one point you could get a 30-year fixed rate mortgage for 4.5 percent with no points. That’s not bad but at what cost?

What if the market never recovered that day or what if the same thing happened the following day? How would that affect consumer confidence? As everyone knows, consumer confidence is a very important part of the real estate market.

I can go to several websites that will tell me the real estate market has bottomed out and things are on the rise again. On the other hand I can go to some websites that will tell me the worst is not over. Many will tell me the commercial real estate market is the next to fall.

The National Association of Realtors, of which I am a member, has to put a positive spin on things or they will lose more members. Even Clear Capital says a 3.9% decrease in home value was better than the previous 5% between February and March of this year. The slowing of the decline in housing value is seen as a positive trend, even though the overall numbers are still negative.

If our government keeps spending at the current rate, the best thing you can do is get out of debt as there will be a day of reckoning. And that starts with paying off your current mortgage as quickly as possible as more and more banks are projected to default.

Many European nations are making an adjustment away from socialism but we as a nation seem to be on the path that they want to get off of. Greece is broke through over-spending and many are comparing California to Greece. What comes out of California seems to move eastward.

What can we do about it? Get rid of these socialites in November.

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